TVL stability (CoV over 90d)
Polymarket's assessment for RD-F-084 — scored yellow on the v1.7.0 rubric. The evidence below is the curator's reasoning for this score.
Evidence summary #
Data cache reports 30d TVL change +11.38% and current TVL $514.2M. DeFiLlama API fetch returned TVL data in a range inconsistent with the data cache ($85M–$170M vs $514M current), suggesting a data quality issue with the API endpoint (possibly returning open interest or a different metric). Using qualitative evidence: Nov 2025 phishing caused a 12% TVL drop in 24 hours; V2 upgrade (Apr 28 2026) creates near-term transition volatility. CoV is estimated in the 0.15–0.35 yellow range but cannot be confirmed programmatically due to data discrepancy. Flagged for data pipeline review.
Sources #
- URLPolymarket phishing scheme analysis — TVL drop notedNov 2025 phishing caused 12% TVL drop within 24 hours per CoinSpot analysisretrieved 2026-04-29
- Polymarket data cache fetched 2026-04-29T15:57:16ZData cache 00-data-cache.json: tvl_usd $514,188,861; tvl_30d_change_pct 11.38; tvl_1d_change_pct 1.07retrieved 2026-04-29
Methodology #
Compute the coefficient of variation (σ/μ) of daily TVL over the trailing 90 days as a proxy for operational stability.
See the full factor methodology and distribution across all protocols →