TVL anomaly — % drop in <1h
Marinade Finance's assessment for RD-F-098 — scored green on the v1.7.0 rubric. The evidence below is the curator's reasoning for this score.
Evidence summary #
T-09 v1 launch signal (Tier-A). Threshold: TVL_now/TVL_baseline_30d < 0.70 over 60-minute window. Current posture: TVL $602.3M (2026-05-16); 30d change -4.04%; 1d change -1.32%. 30-day median TVL approximately $628M. Ratio: $602M/$628M = 0.96 -- well above 0.70 threshold. Secular decline from $2.51B Jan-2025 peak reflects competitive pressure from Jito/JitoSOL, not an anomalous drain event. Signal would NOT fire today. Suppression: no sector-wide LST collapse observed.
Sources #
- InternalMarinade data cache -- TVL seriesC:\Users\abdul\OneDrive\Desktop\Memory\Memory\RiskProduct\risk-dashboard\.research\protocols\marinade\00-data-cache.jsonretrieved 2026-05-16
Methodology #
Detect whether TVL drops >X% within 1 hour versus the trailing 30-day baseline (X configurable per protocol TVL tier).
See the full factor methodology and distribution across all protocols →