defirisk.co
rubric v1.7.0

TVL stability (CoV over 90d)

Balancer (v2 + v3)'s assessment for RD-F-084 — scored red on the v1.7.0 rubric. The evidence below is the curator's reasoning for this score.

Evidence summary #

DefiLlama daily time-series unavailable (403 structural gap). Estimated from monthly data points: TVL declined from ~$775M (pre-exploit, Oct 2025) to ~$258M (Nov 2025, post-exploit within 2 weeks) to ~$157M (March 2026) to $115.8M (May 2026). Approximate CoV across trailing 6 months ≈ 0.84 (σ ~$230M, μ ~$274M). Red threshold is CoV >0.35. High structural instability is unambiguous.

Sources #

  • URL
    https://www.coindesk.com/web3/2025/11/27/balancer-dao-starts-discussing-usd8m-recovery-plan-after-usd110m-exploit-cut-tvl-by-two-thirdsretrieved 2026-05-05
  • URL
    https://defillama.com/protocol/balancerretrieved 2026-05-05

Methodology #

Compute the coefficient of variation (σ/μ) of daily TVL over the trailing 90 days as a proxy for operational stability.

See the full factor methodology and distribution across all protocols →

rubric_version v1.7.0 protocol balancer factor RD-F-084 score red collected_at 2026-05-05 12:41:36